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Player Prop – Enrique (Kike) Hernandez (Dodgers)

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This isn’t your normal MLB player prop pick. Enrique Hernandez? Yes. Enrique Hernandez. Hernandez and the Dodgers are facing Madison Bumgarner who has an 8.44 ERA and a 9.05 Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP). His strikeouts are low and his walks are high along with his home run rate.
Bumgarner is allowing 3.8 home runs per nine innings. The Dodgers right-handers are ready to feast and Enrique Hernandez could be that guy.

Hernandez is batting .500 against Bumgarner in 50 at bats and 52 plate appearances with 15 singles, six doubles, four home runs, and a walk. Sure, Hernandez has struggled a bit this season but he’s trending in the right direction with a multi-hit performance against the Diamondbacks on Wednesday.
Bumgarner is allowing righties to hit .288 with nine home runs and 13 RBI’s along with eight walks. Bumgarner has dominated lefties but he’s struggled so badly against righties. Righties are slugging .742 against Bumgarner with a .385 on base percentage.
Other bats that could absolutely tee off from the Dodgers are Mookie Betts, Chris Taylor, and AJ Pollock along with Austin Barnes (if he gets the start).
Pollock has a .286 average and two home runs against Bumgarner in 66 plate appearances while Barnes has a.250 average and two home runs in 17 plate appearances.
Any right-haned bat in the lineup can do damage but Enrique (Kike) Hernandez has done absolute damage to Bumgarner in the past and has plenty of potential in this one.
For all of my MLB picks for players, remember to consider over 1.5 total bases and the potential for a home run. The batters I select have a huge change to do damage in the lineup even if it’s not particularly a home run.

MLB Pick: Enrique Hernandez Over 1.5 Total Bases (+110) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)
MLB Pick: Enrique Hernandez to hit a Homer +350 at BetOnline

Player Prop – Dylan Bundy (Angels)

Dylan Bundy has had his ups and downs this season but things are starting to trend up. Bundy is 4-2 with a 2.49 ERA and a 2.95 FIP on the season. He’s striking out 9.77 batters per nine innings and limiting walks to 2.13 per nine innings while also limiting home runs.
Bundy is coming off a seven inning performance against the Astros where he allowed two runs on six hits in seven innings. In that game, he struck out eight and walked just one.
Before that start, Bundy was struggling to reach a high amount of strikeouts. In three games prior to the Astros start, Bundy struck out 12 batters combined.
Prior to those three games, he had struck out seven or more batters in his first four games of the season with two of those games reaching double digits with 10.
Bundy will face the Texas Rangers who have really struggled against righties this season, hitting .212 with a strikeout rate of just under 22 percent.
It doesn’t matter what side of the plate a batter is standing. Bundy dominates. Lefties have 22 strikeouts while righties have 33 strikeouts against Bundy on the season.
On the road, Bundy has a 1.69 ERA and has gone 2-0 in three starts. Those three starts he struck out 23 and walked one batter, holding batters to a .177 batting average.
Seeing Bundy’s last start gives me confidence he’s returning to form for the Angels. The Angels will not be playing in the postseason but knowing they’ve got an ace developing will sure feel good going into next season.
I’ll roll with Bundy to get over on his strikeout total with these MLB odds. You’re likely going to get a solid six or seven innings of quality baseball from Bundy. Inside the quality stats will be a bunch of strikeouts against the Rangers.
MLB Pick: Dylan Bundy Over K’s (TBD)

There are a number of words that can used to describe Super Bowl betting props. Wild, the wacky, and the wonderful are three that come to mind.

And Super Bowl 55, taking place Feb. 7 in Tampa, will be no exception.

Just as the NFL and the networks try to outdo themselves each year, NJ online sportsbooks target Garden State bettors with a barrage of options.

Here are some notable Super Bowl props currently available at NJ online sportsbooks.

DraftKings + and forward pass prop

DraftKings Sportsbook unfurled a prop for how many players will attempt a forward pass.

This one is always interesting. Over 2.5 pays + 165. The under costs – 215.

What you are hoping for, essentially, is a backup quarterback to come in or for a trick play.

We saw the New England Patriots and Tennessee Titans do this in recent years.

The over nearly came in on this bet two years ago.

Punter Johnny Hekker of the Los Angeles Rams, who had thrown a pass on a fake punt earlier in the playoffs, looked ready to do it again on one of the early series. However, a delay of game penalty killed the chance.

Want to stretch the bet a little further?

Three or more players to complete a pass is +250.

You think someone other than quarterbacks Tom Brady and Patrick Mahomes will throw a TD? If at least three players hurl a touchdown pass, it’s +1100.

William Hill + Super Bowl

Will a missed field goal hit the upright? Yes was +375 on Monday morning at William Hill.

A “doink’ is insurance for a field goal you wanted made or a potential parlay with the bet of any team missing two field goals, which is +450.

Will there be three unanswered scores? This is -175 for yes and +155 for no. The books think either of these teams will get on a roll.

How do you like reasonable longshots?

If Rob Gronkowski of the Bucs and Travis Kelce of the Chiefs each score the first touchdown for their respective teams, that’s +4000. Both are capable and Tampa Bay gives up a lot of yards to tight ends. This is an excellent return on, admittedly, a tough proposition.

But will either team get ahead and stay ahead?

Kansas City to score first and win is +220. But if the Chiefs score first and lose, that’s +350 at William Hill.

For Tampa Bay to score first and win, it’s +240. For Tampa Bay to score first and lose that’s +300.

The nice part of this bet is that gamblers don’t have to focus on individuals. This pays less than many player props, but offers a reasonable chance of success.

FanDuel + margin of victory

FanDuel Sportsbook is offering something a little more conservative, yet still creative, with victory-margin bands.

They appear in the 5-, 6- and 10-point range, giving bettors a chance to pinpoint or even hedge for a good profit.

Kansas City to win by 1-6 points is +340 while the the payout is from 7-12 points is +480.

Tampa Bay pays +390 for a win of between 1-6 points, and a margin of 7-12 is +700.

Both pay far better than a moneyline and, if combined, provide a nice margin of points for a bet to fall into.

Combine the margins? Yes. If you bet Kansas City $20 to win outright at -174 it pays a profit of 11.49 on the moneyline.

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What happens if you split that $20, taking two $10 plays on Kansas City to win by 1-6 points at +340 and Kansas City to win by 7-12 at +480?

The 1-6 payout creates a profit of $34, the 7-12 returns a profit of $48.

You can take the angle of Kansas City winning outright, wager a realistic margin between 1-12 points and be better off than the moneyline play.

The Bet MGM potpourri

Those who bet on the Chiefs in Super Bowl 54 may want to take a look at the BetMGM spotsbookprops menu.

The Chiefs set an NFL record in last year’s Big Game. Remember they were trailing the San Francisco 49ers by 10 points in the fourth quarter before winning the game, 31-20.

Well, for Sunday’s game, bettors have the option of wagering on a similar scenario unfolding, If the Chiefs trail the Bucs by nine points at any stage of the game, but go on to win by nine or more points it pays +600.

And there are other scoring props, too. Will the first touchdown of the game be a Tampa Bay rushing touchdown?

The yes is + 600. This is a good price for a difficult, but not impossible task.

Other BetMGM notes

Darren Darby, sports trader at BetMGM, says “Patrick Mahomes and Tom Brady are the most popular picks by bettors to win Super Bowl MVP.”

“Mahomes is an even money favorite, with nearly half of all BetMGM’s handle on the Chiefs quarterback to win the award,”said Darby.

Here are a few other Super Bowl MVP fun facts from BetMGM:

• There is 3X as much money on Mahomes as Brady to win the Super Bowl MVP.
• There are 57 players with odds to win the Super Bowl MVP.
• Cameron Brate, tight end for the Buccaneers, is the only player with no bets

Line movement:

• Patrick Mahomes opened +130, now +100
• Tom Brady opened +240, now +200
• Travis Kelce opened +800, now +1000
• Tyreek Hill opened +800, now +900

All of this is just a sample of the two-week wagering feast. And that’s just before the game.

The line movements will not be the story most days. It will be what novelty plays or props just got added.

Super Bowl betting extra points

Some NJ sportsbooks have the first quarter to produce the most points with a payout of nearly +500.

Nfl Player Props

That prompted some research. The last two times it happened was 2007 and 1997.

Players may be a little tight in the first quarter.

Fanduel Sportsbook Player Props

Sports Betting Player Props

The second quarter has traditionally outperformed it. The second period also affords the two-minute warning and possibly six timeouts split the between the teams.

The third quarter follows a long halftime show while the fourth quarter may or may not be relevant.

Nonetheless, honing in on the right quarter for the highest-scoring is a worthwhile prop.